Predator: Badlands is sliding fast at the box office, and at this point, it’s looking like Disney could take a $60+ million loss on the film, if not more.
After 13 days as of Wednesday, the movie has earned:
- Domestic: $69,223,314
- International: $70,193,224
- Worldwide: $139,416,538
And the numbers aren’t improving. Weekend #2 cratered at just $13 million, a brutal 67.5% drop, signaling that the movie has already burned through its core audience.
With a $105 million budget and the industry-standard 2.5x multiplier needed to break even, Badlands must hit $262.5 million worldwide just to stop losing money.
It won’t even come close.
The Best-Case Scenario Still Looks Bad
Even if Predator: Badlands manages a generous tail — which is unlikely considering its trajectory — the math is unavoidable.
If it reaches $100M domestic (if it’s lucky)… that would add roughly $30M more to its current domestic total, landing at:
- Domestic: ~$100M
- Worldwide: ~170M (current) + 30M = ~$200M
And if the international side adds another $30M… You’re looking at a $200M worldwide finish, far below the $262.5M break-even point.
That’s at least a $60M loss, realistically more once marketing is included.
Disney will not be happy with that math.
Badlands Is Now a Franchise Risk
Another major takeaway: A flop of this size could kill theatrical Predator releases for the foreseeable future.
Disney already sent Prey straight to streaming, where it was obviously hoped Badlands would be a success theatrically.
However, if the studio loses tens of millions on Badlands, execs may decide that Predator belongs on streaming and that theatrical releases are too risky.
It’s exactly what Disney did with Home Alone, Hocus Pocus, Prey, and other legacy IP, not to mention cutting back on content involving Marvel and Star Wars, two of their biggest guns.
The Future of Predator Is Suddenly Uncertain
What was once sold as a fresh direction for the franchise has quickly become a financial liability.
With Badlands now tracking toward a significant loss and no signs of recovery, the film may go down as another example of Disney greenlighting a nine-figure project without the audience demand to support it.
Unless the international box office makes a dramatic late surge, Predator: Badlands is on track to lose more than $60 million, and its failure may send the franchise right back to streaming-only releases.
