‘Black Panther: Wakanda Forever’ Estimates Offer Bigger-Than-Expected Second-Weekend Drop

The estimates have been revised from earlier in the week and are more in line with Doctor Strange 2.

The estimates have been revised from earlier in the week and are more in line with Doctor Strange 2.

'Black Panther: Wakanda Forever' Estimates Offer Bigger-Than-Expected Second-Weekend Drop

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever is estimated to have a bigger-than-expected second-weekend drop.

Earlier in the week, Deadline originally estimated Black Panther: Wakanda Forever to only drop 60%, but now that the weekend is here, Deadline now estimates the flick will drop by 65%.

The second weekend updated estimates offer Black Panther: Wakanda Forever will bring in $64 million, which would be 65% down from its $181 million opening.

Of course, the second weekend could always perform better if audiences decided to see it this weekend, but the sequel is performing nowhere near as well as the first Black Panther in 2018 which only saw a second-weekend drop of 44.7% and brought in a whopping $111.6 million.

Update: The numbers are in and Wakanda Forever performed slightly better and dropped 62.9% with a $67.3M second weekend gross. Updated numbers can be found below.

Doctor Strange 2 and Thor Love and Thunder

Comparing Wakanda Forever to Doctor Strange 2 and Thor: Love and Thunder

The Wakanda Forever box office is being compared to both Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness and Thor: Love and Thunder.

In the same eight days of release, domestically Wakanda Forever ($238.6M) is trailing Doctor Strange 2 ($247.9M) but beating out Thor: Love and Thunder ($201) — and again, no comparisons to the first movie that brought in a massive $320.7M in its first eight days.

Doctor Strange 2 seems to be the better comparison, where Wakanda Forever is trailing by about 4%.

The Multiverse of Madness opened to $187.4 million and brought in $61.7M for its second weekend which is a drop of 67%, so Wakanda Forever is really similar.

Doctor Strange 2 also finished with a $411 million domestic box office but it made over $544 million internationally.

Right now, Wakanda Forever is at $187.2 million internationally but its foreign numbers don’t look to be as good as DS2, which finished with a worldwide gross of over $955.7 million, so Wakanda Forever will likely finish below DS2 and below a billion dollars, while the first Black Panther made over $1.346 billion.

While true Wakanda Forever doesn’t have the benefit of China, the Middle Kingdom only provided the first film with $105 million so that’s not an excuse.

Related: Marvel in turmoil.

Related: Chris Hemsworth is taking a break following Alzheimer’s warning.

Black Panther Wakanda Forever box office

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever box office:

Nov 11 Friday: $84,285,721

Nov 12 Saturday: $56,131,051 -33.4%

Nov 13 Sunday: $40,922,989 -27.1%

Nov 14 Monday: $11,125,499 -72.8%

Nov 15 Tuesday: $12,636,707 +13.6%

Nov 16 Wednesday: $8,110,601 -35.8%

Nov 17 Thursday: $7,480,079 -7.8%

Nov 18 Friday: $17,900,000 +139.3% daily/ -78.8% from previous Friday

Nov 19 Saturday: $29,002,000 +62% / -48.3%

Nov 20 Sunday: $20,398,000 -29.7% / -50.2%


Nov 11-13: $181,339,761

Nov 18-20: $67,300,000 -62.9%


DOMESTIC (52.7%): $287,992,647

INTERNATIONAL (47.3%): $258,300,000

WORLDWIDE: $546,292,647

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